试读版 | 隐身的崔永元能做什么，王林清事件的权斗裂缝
|点点今天事||Feb 25, 2019|| 1|
What’s on my mind…
Even the most secretive under-the-table deals cannot fool the discerning eyes of Chinese netizens. The investigative report on Wang Linqing's case by the Political and Legal Affairs Committee has become the biggest laughingstock on social media. The loopholes are so numerous and the logic so twisted that people are even more skeptical that the authorities are trying to conceal the insidious cronyism among the powerful. Officials who are rumored to be implicated include at least Zhao Leji, Li Zhanshu, Zhou Qiang, and Wang Qishan, but rumors have not been able to clearly point out their roles in the matter.
Part of the reason this case has received so much attention is because of the whistle-blower, Cui Yongyuan, a famous former host of CCTV who has a large following in China and abroad. He used to be a member of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference. The video circulated today documents a friendly conversation between Cui and Wang Qishan. Is Cui's action tacitly supported by Wang? On the surface, it seems to be in line with Wang’s dissatisfaction with his successor, Zhao Leji. However, the power struggle at the highest level of CCP leadership is never so explicit. Cui Yongyuan says that his action has secured the backing of "the very powerful". What he is actually referring to is the vague notion of "the people", not a specific individual or group of individuals in power. This is a trick Cui pulls. He is an expert in using language that piques curiosity and excitement without crossing the lines.
Cui seems to have a personal vendetta against the director Feng Xiaogang and the actress Fan Bingbing, which is why he waged a public war against the two for tax evasion. This has made quite a splash and has won Cui the support of many: Cui allegedly has more than 20 million fans on social media now. However, after his name has been singled out in the investigative report for Wang Linqing's case, few people actually roots for him or shows solidarity with him. We don't know what Cui's motive is, but it takes tremendous courage to challenge the Chinese Supreme Court. China needs more people who dare to challenge the authorities. Netizens are counting on Cui Yongyuan to fight back and win in a dramatic turnaround. However, Cui has been quiet on social media for a while. No one seems to know if Cui still has his personal freedom.
Some Chinese are still closely following the unfolding of the events in Venezuela. They are every bit as passionate and hopeful as with the previous color revolutions or the Jasmine Revolution. However, they seem to have forgotten that those revolutions were short-lived successes. The key goals of the revolutions have failed to be delivered, while endemic social unrest persists. Some even hope that the US will support Chinese opposition leaders just like Guaido. But ideology is just one of the reasons why the Trump administration is heavily involved in Venezuelan affairs. Strategic considerations in Latin America are more important: American’s backyard cannot be lost, a lesson the US learned the hard way when last year, three Taipei allies in Latin America switched recognition to Beijing without even notifying the US envoys.
Among all countries, there’s no clear line separating the camp backing Maduro and the camp backing Guaido. Even countries like Russia and China hesitate to support Maduro wholeheartedly. Although the US sees China and Russia as strategic adversaries, Trump still aspires to befriend both Xi and Putin. Now he might want to bring Kim Jong-un into the club. If Maduro’s dictatorial regime deserves condemnation, what about Kim Jong-un’s? Why does Trump have to deal a heavy blow to Maduro, but is eager to extend the olive branch to Kim?
推动了这个案件受到如此多关注的是崔永元，这位前央视的主持人受到很多人追捧，即使他曾经是全国政协委员。 今天流传的视频录下了崔与王岐山亲热的对话，如果说他的举报行为得到了王的支持，似乎符合王对继任者赵乐际不满的逻辑。 但是，中共最高层的权力斗争没有这么露骨。崔永元之前说他的举报得到强大的后台支持，其实是泛指“人民”。这是崔在中国能够著名的高超技巧，使用一些可以给人想像又安全的语言。
几十年来，中国不少学者便提醒中国不要南美化。但那更多是从经济意义上，现在政治上也可能吗？ 意识形态只是川普团队强力介入委内瑞拉事务的一个理由，利益和面子也是动力：后院不能失守。去年，有三个南美国家很晚才通报美国：他们放弃台北而取悦北京。 不过，即使是中俄，也未必是那么认真地支持马杜罗。习近平、普京与川普可能是这世界上最想友好的三个男人，甚至他们都想将政治小弟金正恩带进圈子。 马杜罗最不堪，比金正恩如何？为什么川普反而要对马杜罗下重手，却笑面迎向金正恩？
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